Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2125.432559 2306.652821 2489.812277 2688.497131 2897.640278 3110.966166 3344.705994
2025-06-08 1800.881717 2069.344485 2350.775086 2666.600436 3009.951366 3370.780704 3777.485204
2025-06-15 1642.796489 1968.124008 2318.240350 2720.573290 3167.675677 3646.935396 4197.129451
2025-06-22 1496.524418 1860.143356 2260.528416 2730.022728 3261.414156 3840.355156 4514.898289
2025-06-29 1368.005409 1759.219031 2199.085226 2724.296843 3328.420115 3995.931620 4783.575526
2025-07-06 1218.737073 1622.737055 2086.683865 2650.696002 3309.757116 4047.911822 4929.461616
2025-07-13 1177.398067 1609.837268 2114.434205 2736.112243 3470.996361 4302.191844 5303.454499
2025-07-20 1118.982103 1571.593421 2108.255363 2778.235206 3579.212967 4493.813676 5604.704617
2025-07-27 1050.609057 1516.508769 2077.942379 2788.143451 3646.708720 4636.197097 5847.713000
2025-08-03 981.890010 1456.800561 2038.386743 2783.655894 3694.396968 4753.411388 6059.993622
2025-08-10 928.727542 1413.835594 2016.860972 2798.812959 3763.779644 4894.864323 6299.898800
2025-08-17 867.804776 1357.349210 1975.460515 2786.817342 3798.111113 4993.126494 6487.755149
2025-08-24 827.176381 1326.641864 1966.379549 2815.467726 3883.310753 5154.269120 6753.516998
2025-08-31 768.063622 1267.970145 1918.848255 2793.582034 3904.743050 5237.859544 6926.522376
2025-09-07 744.824927 1257.239353 1932.787242 2849.260042 4022.169645 5437.715809 7239.601110
2025-09-14 705.471648 1221.767103 1912.242105 2859.009731 4080.903101 5565.331799 7465.206573
2025-09-21 663.045114 1179.656046 1880.924544 2853.102128 4118.571156 5666.243581 7657.936548
2025-09-28 598.603156 1102.098067 1798.494257 2777.154353 4064.519171 5651.837625 7708.134589
2025-10-05 594.946882 1114.334453 1839.440016 2865.292354 4221.666955 5900.680372 8082.721226
2025-10-12 576.611199 1103.410573 1847.426229 2908.747327 4320.844150 6077.247112 8368.725413
2025-10-19 548.596566 1076.254100 1831.480378 2918.967931 4376.181888 6198.522373 8586.370529
2025-10-26 517.628797 1042.908539 1805.441277 2914.338948 4411.262125 6293.760994 8771.495066
2025-11-02 494.590283 1020.895190 1794.715940 2929.973392 4472.531091 6421.985835 8997.917750